Posted by
Tim K. on Sunday, October 19, 2008 12:01:11 PM
Everyone is proclaiming that New Hampshire is a "safe" state for Barack Obama, then tell me - why was Obama going door to door a few days ago in New Hampshire when he could have been in Florida,Ohio,Missouri, or any other state devoting more time to those states - because New Hampshire is not a safe state by any means, New Hampshire is a weird state politically speaking, as New Hampshire is known as a Libertarian state with the motto "live free, or die" which I think most Conservatives & Americans agree with, but New Hampshire is known as a state that can go either way, and this year the election will even be tighter with all of the third party candidates.
Kerry carried New Hampshire with only 9,274+ votes over George Bush, Ralph Nader & other candidates + write in votes received nearly 2,000 votes, meaning this state can go either way, I believe that with Bob Barr the best Libertarian candidate ever for their party, and with Barack Obama & John McCain also included, that 1.Bob Barr will get 5% of the vote in New Hampshire, 2.Obama being way big government will hurt him in this state, 3.Those voters may not go for McCain, and 4. I believe with all of the factors in play like stated -
John McCain will carry New Hampshire by less then 5,000 votes, in one of the closest results in election history in any state, why do I believe all of this, because :
1.New Hampshire is Libertarian
2.Bob Barr will get a lot of votes this year.
3.Barack Obama is 10 times more big government then John Kerry.
4.Many Democrats in New Hampshire will not vote for Obama because he is to Liberal, they will probably vote for Barr, a few will go for McCain.
5.McCain is a war hero, I believe this will go well with the voters of New Hampshire - fits their motto "Live free, or die".
I believe New Hampshire will go red this election, which will be very vital in the end count of the Electoral Vote.
We will not know anything to November Fourth, but remember Kerry won the state by just 9,000 votes, and with the best Libertarian candidate ever - and with the biggest big government candidate ever, McCain should win New Hampshire, regardless of what "experts" say.